The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway this weekend, also with Kyle Busch winning at both Phoenix and Fontana within the last two weeks, he has been installed as a heavy favorite for today’s STP 500 in”The Paperclip”–and for good reason: Rowdy hasn’t finished outside of the top 5 in this track since the 2014 season, and he has led a combined 582 laps within the previous four (and 937 over the last six). Obviously, whenever you have the preferred in +150 to win, that means there is some great value in gambling others in the event that guy has issues throughout the race.
Last weekend at Auto Club Speedway my favourite bets went 2-0, bringing my yearly record to 5-3. I had Brad Keselowski to complete top 3, along with his day went south early, so that has been screwed from the start.
My Favourite Bets for Martinsville
Martin Truex, Jr.. Sirius XM Paint Scheme Martinsville 2019
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Martin Truex, Jr.. Top 3 End (+200) — The races in Martinsville are generally predictable: we see the exact same faces up front again and again, and we don’t see Martin Truex, Jr. in victory lane. Where we do find himthough, is close enough to win in case something goes wrong with the leader. Over the last three races in”The Paperclip,” Truex has posted finishes of 3rd, 4th, and 2nd, although he begins back in 8th for the STP 500, he’s got one hell of a race car under him to get to the front. The #19 Toyota ranked #1 at 10-, 15-, 20-, and 30-lap average during the last practice session here on Saturday, and there is likely to be plenty of long runs throughout the race. Truex will shine during those. If you look at this week’s rankings by the Fantasy Racing Online algorithm, Truex is a very close 4th supporting Logano, and if you look at recent trends by pole sitters in the spring Martinsville race, I would give that advantage to Truex.
Chris Buescher (+105) over Daniel Hemric — I am honestly surprised Chris Buescher isn’t getting more adore this weekend. This #37 team has never finished worse than 18th since the Daytona 500, and they have got a good starting place for today’s STP 500 (12th). Meanwhile, the Hemric will begin from back in 28th, and has a tendency to hit the wall more frequently than not. We have got 500 laps to race in today’s STP 500, and to be honest, I am not sure he finishes. On the flip side, Buescher has completed 13th, 23rd, 21st, and 11th in his last four Martinsville starts, and he’s running better than he’s likely ever conducted. This is a no brainer for me.
Martinsville Race Day Betting Odds for your STP 500
Kyle Busch 2.25/1
Martin Truex, Jr. 4.5/1
Brad Keselowski 5/1
Joey Logano 5/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Ryan Blaney 15/1
Aric Almirola 15/1
Chase Elliott 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 40/1
Kyle Larson 50/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Austin Dillon 80/1
Alex Bowman 80/1
Daniel Surez 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Field 32/1
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